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Liu Yu, chief economist of Huaxi Securities, said that the bond bull market is expected to continue in the coming year. Although there is a phenomenon of "rushing to run" near the end of the year, it is still necessary to actively allocate cost-effective bond assets.Liu Yu, chief economist of Huaxi Securities, said that the bond bull market is expected to continue in the coming year. Although there is a phenomenon of "rushing to run" near the end of the year, it is still necessary to actively allocate cost-effective bond assets.On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)

The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. (SSE)The phenomenon of "high-priced over-offering" still occurs from time to time, and the "white list" of offline professional institutional investors will be released. Since the reform of the comprehensive registration system, the pricing function of market-oriented issuance has gradually played a role, but the phenomenon of "high-priced over-offering" has occurred from time to time, causing widespread concern in the market. On December 9, the reporter learned from the brokerage office that China Securities Association (hereinafter referred to as "China Securities Association") summarized the experience of classified management of offline investors in recent years, studied and formulated the "White List Management Guidelines for Offline Professional Institutional Investors (Trial)", and solicited opinions from brokers, aiming at giving full play to the exemplary role of large financial institutions, implementing dynamic adjustment, building a high-quality offline investor team, and promoting the formation of superior and inferior. (Securities Daily)Market information: US President-elect Trump discussed the possibility of his daughter-in-law Lala Trump running for the Senate seat in Florida.

Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.Iranian Vice President: Tehran has not withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear deal. Iranian Vice President mohammad reza aref said that Iran has not withdrawn from the nuclear agreement of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, and Tehran is willing to continue negotiations with western countries and suggest that western countries return to the Iranian nuclear deal. Negotiations on the nuclear program between Iran and the "European Troika" were held in Geneva on November 29th after two years' interruption. Assistant Foreign Minister Majid Taht La Wan Qi, who is in charge of political affairs, led an Iranian delegation to attend the talks. According to the Iranian government statement, the talks will continue in the near future.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.